This Principle Altered The Way I Play DFS

It will do the same for you.

Most DFS player mistake how to win a tournament. Their focus is on who will have a good game and who will fail. When they see the top DFS players consistently winning, they think that they must be extremely good at predicting player performance.

That is not the case.

The top tournament players think about the game in a fundamentally different way.

It’s one of the most influential principles that I’ve learned over the course of my time playing DFS: being right once for a big payoff is better than being right frequently.

Most people make decisions to optimize being right as frequent as possible. The best tournament players know that accuracy matters far less compared to the payoff.

In theory, the two hold the same value, but because everyone else is focused on accuracy, it’s the payoff that is exponentially more valuable.

You’re competing with thousands (sometimes hundreds of thousands) of lineups in a tournament — you won’t get there by simply focusing on accuracy. You will get there by identifying the situations that result in a massive payoff.

These payoffs will often fail, but being wrong is something that must be endured when you are looking for a big payoff.

These big payoffs usually entail contrarian strategies that may leave you looking or feeling like a fool.

Remember that it’s better to be wrong on your own than right with everyone else because every so often you’re right on your own, and the reward can be a tournament win.

Don’t prioritize accuracy like everyone else but instead look for the angles that present a handsome payoff. Train yourself to identify these situations and be able to pull the trigger to achieve big rewards.