Why Being Locked Onto A Certain Roster Construction Will Lose You Money In DFS

Braxton Peterson
2 min readJul 6, 2021

Being rigid with roster construction will leave you with no shot at winning.

Recency bias has us thinking that what worked recently will work again. This gets us into trouble because each slate has its own identity. What worked on last weeks slate won’t necessarily work on the next one.

Yet we constantly see people try to develop certain rules to roster construction.

They try to find an angle that will be universal for all slates, making it easy to know how to build for future slates.

In NFL DFS, paying up for running backs may be the way to go in one week, but makes little sense with how the following week shapes up.

If you’ve already predetermined the manner which you intend to build, you will overvalue players that fit into that roster mold.

If you are partial to paying up for tight ends, you may overvalue Kelce, Waller, or Kittle on a week that doesn’t call for that and may overlook higher-priced players at different positions.

Don’t let your strict beliefs on roster construction influence your decisions before you’ve dug into the slate.

What makes a DFS player successful is their ability to adapt to the identity that each slate takes on.

Don’t make a square peg fit into a round hole. Let the slate’s identity dictate how you build rosters.

Be strict with what your goals are for the week, but flexible in how you get there.

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